Archive for September, 2010

Copper & Crude Oil is Heading for Records

Copper were heading for the biggest quarterly gain this year as the dollar weakened and inventories shrank. The US Dollar Index dropped 8.7 percent this quarter, making commodities cheaper and more attractive to buy. LME-monitored stockpiles of copper declined 17 percent this quarter. December futures for copper delivery slid $0.0005 to $3.661 per pound by 8:39 on COMEX.

Crude oil headed for the biggest monthly gain since May 2009, as reports about gross domestic product and jobless claims in the US were better than expected, suggesting that demand may increase. US GDP increased by 1.7% in the second quarter and initial jobless claims went down from 469,000 to 453,000 last week. US stockpiles of crude oil declined by 0.5 million barrels and total motor gasoline inventories dropped by 3.5 million barrels last week. November delivery for crude oil advanced $1.04 (1.3 percent) to $78.90 per barrel as of 11:12 on NYMEX.

Commodity Prices — September 30th 2010

Latest commodity prices (ICE, NYMEX, CME) as of 15:40 GMT:

Oil (Brent) — $81.53
Gold — $1,298.69
Silver — $21.59
Palladium — $561.50
Platinum — $1,647.36
Copper — $8,015.00
Aluminum — $2,344.00
Nickel — $23.350.00
Zinc — $2,183.00
Cocoa — $2,789.00
Sugar — $23.98
Corn — $483.00
Soybean — $1088.50

Advance of Corn, Slump of Wheat & Sugar on Growing Supplies

Corn futures went up today on speculation that previous slump of prices would increase demand for the grain, used in production of fuel and to feed cattle. US gasoline inventories unexpectedly fell last week, increasing consumption of ethanol and also boosting demand for corn. December futures for corn delivery advanced $0.05 (1 percent) to $5.05 per bushel as of 13:15 on CBoT.

Wheat futures dropped today on forecast that rains in Russia and Eastern Europe would improve soil moisture, helping crops. Previously these regions suffered from dry weather and require more precipitation to recover. December futures for wheat delivery slipped $0.0125 (0.2 percent) to $6.835 per bushel by 13:15 on CBoT.

Sugar declined today on outlook for growing global supplies. India, the second largest producer of sugar in the world, expected to have a surplus of 7.5 million metric tons in the year starting October 1st, compared to 5 million this year. March delivery for raw sugar subtracted $0.0036 (1.4 percent) to $0.2493 per pound at 14:00 on ICE.

Commodity Prices — September 29th 2010

Latest commodity prices (ICE, NYMEX, CME) as of 19:35 GMT:

Oil (Brent) — $80.64
Gold — $1,306.91
Silver — $21.76
Palladium — $565.50
Platinum — $1,646.20
Copper — $8,048.00
Aluminum — $2,334.00
Nickel — $23.200.00
Zinc — $2,220.30
Cocoa — $2,879.00
Sugar — $26.72
Corn — $505.25
Soybean — $1098.00

Copper Advances on Sign of Demand, Gold Hits New Record

Copper prices went up today after stockpiles declined and the dollar weakened. The dollar dropped near the lowest level in eight months versus the basket of six major currencies, increasing demand for commodities as an alternative investment. LME-monitored inventories fell 25 percent this year to the lowest level since November, signaling about strong demand. December futures for copper delivery went up $0.031 (0.9 percent) to $3.628 per pound by 11:31 on COMEX.

Gold reached today the new record as investors and jewelers increased their purchases after previous decline of the prices. Together with robust physical demand it created an upward pressure for the precious metal. December futures for gold delivery added $8.80 (0.7 percent) to $1,307.40 per ounce as of 11:46 on COMEX. The prices previously touched the all-time high of $1,309.20 per ounce.

Commodity Prices — September 28th 2010

Latest commodity prices (ICE, NYMEX, CME) as of 16:13 GMT:

Oil (Brent) — $79.20
Gold — $1,306.04
Silver — $21.59
Palladium — $555.50
Platinum — $1,632.71
Copper — $7,955.00
Aluminum — $2,309.00
Nickel — $23.135.00
Zinc — $2,220.00
Cocoa — $2,818.00
Sugar — $26.21
Corn — $506.00
Soybean — $1121.50

Copper & Oil Decline on Outlook for Weak Demand

Copper fell from highest level in five months today as the slower global economic growth suggests that demand for the metal may decrease. Reports about new homes sales and unemployment claims in the US last week signaled about weakness of the US economy. Analysts say that it’s not surprising for the price to encounter resistance at previous high levels, but that resistance may be broken in case of some really good news, which would push the prices upward. December futures for copper delivery subtracted $0.021 (0.6 percent) to $3.597 per pound by 13:24 on COMEX.

Crude oil dropped today after the dollar strengthened against the euro and forecasts suggest that gasoline inventories in the US, the biggest oil consumer in the world, would grow, causing demand for crude to decline. The euro fell versus the dollar on concerns about health of the banking systems in such countries as Ireland and Portugal. Experts estimated that US gasoline stockpiles advanced 750,000 barrels last week. November delivery for crude oil (Brent) dropped $0.3 (0.4 percent) to $78.57 per barrel on ICE.

Commodity Prices — September 27th 2010

Latest commodity prices (ICE, NYMEX, CME) as of 23:44 GMT:

Oil (Brent) — $78.31
Gold — $1,291.97
Silver — $21.22
Palladium — $550.00
Platinum — $1,629.22
Copper — $7,908.00
Aluminum — $2,282.00
Nickel — $23.120.00
Zinc — $2,202.00
Cocoa — $2,839.00
Sugar — $26.13
Corn — $512.00
Soybean — $1126.25

Video: Weekly Ichimoku Technical Analysis — September 27th 2010

This video features a weekly (for the week starting September 27) technical analysis of some commodity futures charts using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator.

Technical Analysis, September 27th — October 1st, 2010

The technical analysis, that includes the indicators’ data and major pivot points for Brent Oil, Gold, Silver and Copper as traded on spot market as of September 25th 2010:

Indicators
Moving Averages RSI Parabolic SAR CCI
Oil Long Neutral Short Neutral
Gold Long Overbought Long Long
Silver Long Overbought Long Long
Copper Long Neutral Long Long

Floor Pivot Points
3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
Oil 73.80 75.28 77.05 78.53 80.30 81.78 83.55
Gold 1249.95 1260.48 1278.11 1288.64 1306.27 1316.80 1334.43
Silver 19.77 20.11 20.74 21.08 21.71 22.05 22.68
Copper 7400 7525 7739 7864 8078 8203 8417

Woodie’s Pivot Points
2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
Oil 75.35 77.21 78.60 80.46 81.85
Gold 1262.26 1281.67 1290.42 1309.83 1318.58
Silver 20.18 20.89 21.15 21.86 22.12
Copper 7547 7783 7886 8122 8225

Camarilla Pivot Points
4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
Oil 77.04 77.94 78.23 78.53 79.13 79.43 79.72 80.62
Gold 1280.26 1288.01 1290.59 1293.17 1298.33 1300.91 1303.49 1311.24
Silver 20.84 21.10 21.19 21.28 21.46 21.55 21.64 21.90
Copper 7766 7859 7890 7921 7983 8014 8045 8138

Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Oil Gold Silver Copper
100.0% 80.00 1299.16 21.42 7990
61.8% 78.76 1288.40 21.05 7861
50.0% 78.38 1285.08 20.94 7821
38.2% 77.99 1281.76 20.82 7780
23.6% 77.52 1277.65 20.68 7731
0.0% 76.75 1271.00 20.45 7651
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