Commodity Blog

Commodity Prices - Sugar

Sugar futures dropped to a lowest in seven months in New York as production rose in Brazil and India, the largest producers in the world. India’s production will reach 16.8 million metric tons in the year ending September 30th, while output in Brazil more than doubled in the second half of February from a year earlier. Traders are holding their purchases in hopes for further price decline. May futures for sugar delivery fell $0.0063 (3.1 percent) to $0.1969 per pound on ICE Futures U.S.

Soybeans advanced to a highest in a week as China bought supplies from the U.S. exporters and after the report that stockpiles will be smaller than predicted. China bought 110,000 metric tons for delivery in the year beginning September 1st, signaling that appeal of the U.S. supplies persist despite the record harvest in South America. Inventories will be 190 million bushels on August 31st, down from 210 million forecasted in February. May futures for soybean delivery gained $0.105 (1.1 percent) to $9.58 per bushel on CBoT.

Wheat futures slid to a monthly low on speculation that inventories in the U.S., the greatest exporter in the world, will increase. Stockpiles will reach as much as 1.001 billion bushels on May 31st, up from a February forecast of 981 million bushels, while consumption for food, livestock feed and exports will be 1 percent less than predicted in the previous month. May futures for wheat delivery declined $0.08 (1.6 percent) to $4.815 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Sugar futures dropped for a second day in New York, reaching the lowest price in six months, on speculation that production in India will increase. Analysts say that production in India may reach as much as 16.8 million metric tons of sugar in the year through September. Sugar futures more than doubled in 2009 as bad weather conditions cut supplies from India and Brazil. May futures for raw-sugar delivery fell $0.0077 (3.6 percent) to $0.208 per pound by 9:22 on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

Wheat slid to a four-week low as the dollar gained, curbing appeal of commodities priced in the U.S. currency. The greenback rose 0.5 percent versus a basket of six major currencies today. U.S. wheat export may total 22.45 million metric tons in the year ending May 31st. May futures for wheat delivery dwindled $0.0425 (0.9 percent) to $4.9075 per bushel as of 9:58 on CBoT.

Wheat prices advanced as the dollar fell, spurring demand for the U.S. grain. The U. S. currency slipped as much as 0.4 percent versus a basket of major currencies. Global stockpiles may climb 19 percent to 195.9 million metric tons in the year ending May 31st, slowing the wheat price increase. The grain price may also fall as U.S. have to compete with other exporters. May futures for wheat delivery advanced $0.015 (0.3 percent) to $4.95 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Sugar futures dropped to the weekly low on speculation that world demand will decline. Analysts say that with increasing global inventories “the bulls will lose their opportunity for a strong rally”. May futures for raw-sugar delivery dropped $0.0062 (2.8 percent) to $0.2157 per pound on ICE.

Copper prices slid on concern that demand for the industrial metal will decline in China with stalled economic recovery. Earlier the metal fluctuated, following the dollar and the U.S. equities. May futures for copper delivery slid $0.007 (0.2 percent) to $3.4105 per pound on NYMEX.

Corn, soybeans and sugar fell today as a stronger dollar curbed demand for commodities as an alternative investment. The dollar rose as much as 0.3 percent versus a basket of six major currencies. May futures for corn delivery slid $0.03 (0.8 percent) to $3.8325 per bushel by 12:02 on the Chicago Board of Trade. May futures for soybean delivery declined $0.15 (1.6 percent) to $9.48 per bushel on CBoT. May futures for raw-sugar delivery fell $0.007 (2.9 percent) to $0.237 per pound on ICE.

Wheat prices may decline 14 percent with start of new harvests in the next few months. World wheat production was predicted to reach 677.4 million metric tons. Russia, the third biggest grower in the world, plans to rise grain export by 32 percent in the next five years, putting even more strain on wheat prices. Analysts forecast that wheat may fall to $150 per ton.

Sugar futures gained after Pakistan increased purchases. Other importers may follow Pakistan, increasing demand for the sweetener. May futures for raw-sugar delivery gained $0.0072 (3 percent) to $0.244 per pound on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

Wheat futures went up as the dollar’s decline boosted appeal of the U.S. commodities. The greenback fell 0.6 percent versus a basket of six major currencies today, supporting commodities. May futures for wheat delivery went up $0.08 (1.6 percent) to $5.1375 per bushel on CBoT.

Hog futures advanced as U.S. pork prices continued to rally, signaling that meat inventories are declining. Increasing U.S. exports may further lower pork supplies, spurring hogs price. April futures for hog settlement rose $0.009 (1.3 percent) to $0.7035 per pound on CME.

White sugar gained in London on signs that a global production deficit may persist, encouraging importers to increase inventories. Production of sugar cane in Brazil and India, the largest growers in the world, was hampered by adverse weather. Analysts forecast that global demand will exceed worldwide output by 9.4 million metric tons in the 2009–10 season. May delivery for white sugar rose $7.60 (1.1 percent) to $714.50 per metric ton on the Liffe exchange.

Wheat, soybeans and corn dropped in Chicago after the dollar gained, making purchases of U.S. crops unprofitable for traders, who are using other currencies. May delivery for wheat lost 1.3 percent to $4.9325 per bushel on CBoT by 12:34. Argentina, the third biggest soybean exporter in the world, may produce more soybeans than previously predicted record 52 million tons with the aid of rains. May delivery for soybeans declined 0.7 percent to $9.575 per bushel. Corn planting is expected to increase from 86.5 million acres last year to 89 million this year. May delivery for corn fell 0.7 percent to $3.6625 per bushel.

Corn and wheat slid today on speculation that demand is shifting from U.S. grain. Lower quality of U.S. corn crop may result in business shifting to supplies from competing nations. May futures for corn delivery fell $0.0225 (0.6 percent) to $3.695 per bushel by 10:26 on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Cotton price reached the highest level since July 2008 on signs that the dollar will decline, increasing the demand for commodities as a hedge against inflation. The dollar dropped 0.2 percent versus a basket of six major currencies before rebounding. May futures for cotton delivery advanced $0.0037 (0.5 percent) to $0.7648 per pound as of 11:28 on ICE.

White sugar declined in London today as technicals signal that further drops may lie ahead. Prices also slid as the dollar rebounded, curbing appeal of commodities priced in U.S. currency. May delivery for white sugar slipped $10 (1.4 percent) to $704 per metric ton on the Liffe exchange.

Coffee slid New York as the stronger dollar curbed demand for commodities as an alternative investment. The greenback gained for the first time this week versus a basket of six major currencies. March futures for Arabica-coffee delivery slid $0.006 (0.5 percent) to $1.298 per pound by 9:51 on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. Coffee price may tumble to $1.20 if the dollar rally will continue, yet the coffee may rise with deficit of high quality coffee and in case of dollar decline. The coffee price increased previous year because adverse weather harmed harvests in Brazil and Colombia.

Sugar rose on speculation that farmers in India will not significantly increase planting of cane. A less-than-expected increase in planting area can lead to import of sugar by India, supporting prices. March futures for raw-sugar delivery rose 1.8 percent to $0.2707 per pound on ICE.

Cocoa futures dropped after the dollar gained, causing an equity decline and, as a result, the investment attractiveness of commodities to wane. Decline is also caused by concerns that jobless rate in the U.S. and rising debt in Europe will stall economic revival. Analysts say that “equities can very easily break cocoa”. May futures for cocoa delivery fell $55 (1.7 percent) to $3,125 per metric ton on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

Coffee price tumbled to the four-month low. Analysts say that this drop caused by the dollar’s rebound, not fundamentals. The dollar’s advance may convince investors and funds to take money out of commodities. March futures for Arabica-coffee delivery waned $0.0145 (1.1 percent) to $1.3155 per pound today.

Sugar went down in New York to the two-week low as the dollar rebounded against the euro, curbing investment appeal of the commodity. The U.S. currency gained 1.2 percent versus the euro, putting commodities under pressure. Some analysts say that sugar will be traded in a range of $0.27–$0.29 in the next couple of months if it wouldn’t fall below $0.27 now. March futures for raw-sugar delivery slid $0.0062 (2.2 percent) to $0.28 per pound by 13:08 on ICE.

Sugar futures rose on speculation that the global deficit will be higher than forecasted. Analysts say that “sugar has favorable technicals and fundamentals”. March futures for raw-sugar delivery added $0.0012 (0.4 percent) to $0.294 per pound on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

Wheat futures gained in Chicago on forecast that supplies may decline because farmers in the U.S. cut selling after prices dropped last month to the lowest level since June. Prices are also aided by expectation of rising demand for U.S. wheat. March futures for wheat delivery went up $0.125 (2.6 percent) to $4.8725 per bushel on CBoT.

Cotton prices rose, ending the longest decline since September 2008, on outlook for improving demand in China, the biggest buyer of the fiber in the world. The area planted with cotton may decrease by 4.9 percent and reductions in the crop supply may cause Chinese textile producers to increase imports. March futures for cotton delivery gained $0.0104 (1.5 percent) to $0.6926 per pound on ICE.