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	<title>Commodity Blog &#187; agriculture</title>
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	<link>http://www.commodityblog.com</link>
	<description>Commodity Prices and Analysis</description>
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		<title>Agricultural Commodities Slump as Risk Aversion Persists</title>
		<link>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-prices-corn/agricultural-commodities-slump-as-risk-aversion-persists</link>
		<comments>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-prices-corn/agricultural-commodities-slump-as-risk-aversion-persists#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Sep 2011 21:36:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Commodity Inspector</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices - Corn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices - Soybean]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices - Wheat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CBoT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PMI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P GSCI index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.commodityblog.com/?p=7822</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Agricultural commodities declined today as&#160;the&#160;negative effect of&#160;yesterday&#8217;s monetary policy statement of&#160;the&#160;US Federal Reserve continued to&#160;affect markets today. The&#160;Fed announced its plan to&#160;replace the&#160;short-term securities with the&#160;longer-maturity debt and&#160;spoke about the&#160;&#8221;significant downside risks&#8221; for&#160;the&#160;US economy. China&#8217;s Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index fell to&#160;49.4 in&#160;September from 49.7 in&#160;August, reinforcing the&#160;pessimistic sentiment among traders. The&#160;Standard &#038; Poor’s GSCI Index slumped [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agricultural commodities declined today as&nbsp;the&nbsp;negative effect of&nbsp;yesterday&#8217;s <a href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20110921a.htm">monetary policy statement</a> of&nbsp;the&nbsp;US <a href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/">Federal Reserve</a> continued to&nbsp;affect markets today. The&nbsp;Fed announced its plan to&nbsp;replace the&nbsp;<nobr>short-term</nobr> securities with the&nbsp;<nobr>longer-maturity</nobr> debt and&nbsp;spoke about the&nbsp;&#8221;significant downside risks&#8221; for&nbsp;the&nbsp;US economy. <a href="http://www.markiteconomics.com/MarkitFiles/Pages/ViewPressRelease.aspx?ID=8567">China&#8217;s Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index</a> fell to&nbsp;49.4 in&nbsp;September from 49.7 in&nbsp;August, reinforcing the&nbsp;pessimistic sentiment among traders.</p>
<p>The&nbsp;<a href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp-gsci/en/us/?indexId=spgscirg--usd----sp------">Standard &#038; Poor’s GSCI Index</a> slumped as&nbsp;much as&nbsp;5.2 percent. Silver, copper and&nbsp;crude oil were the&nbsp;major contributors to&nbsp;the&nbsp;decline. The&nbsp;<a href="http://www.jefferies.com/RJCRB/">Thomson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index</a> of&nbsp;slid 4.4 percent to&nbsp;the&nbsp;lowest level in&nbsp;nine months.</p>
<p>December contract for&nbsp;delivery of&nbsp;corn slipped $0.3575 (5.2 percent) to&nbsp;$6.50 per bushel by&nbsp;13:15 on&nbsp;<a href="http://www.cmegroup.com/company/cbot.html">CBoT</a>, the&nbsp;biggest decline since October 1. November futures for&nbsp;delivery of&nbsp;soybean fell $0.375 (2.8 percent) to&nbsp;$12.83 per bushel, following the&nbsp;drop to&nbsp;$12.81, the&nbsp;lowest price since March 15. Futures for&nbsp;delivery of&nbsp;wheat in&nbsp;December dropped $0.33 (4.9 percent) to&nbsp;$6.3375 per bushel, the&nbsp;biggest fall since June 30.<br />
(...)<br/>Read the rest of <a href="http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-prices-corn/agricultural-commodities-slump-as-risk-aversion-persists">Agricultural Commodities Slump as Risk Aversion Persists</a> (12 words)</p>
Posted on <a href="http://www.commodityblog.com/">Commodity blog</a>.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Video: Agriculture Commodities Report &#8212; March 20th 2011</title>
		<link>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-trading-videos/video-agriculture-commodities-report-march-20th-2011</link>
		<comments>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-trading-videos/video-agriculture-commodities-report-march-20th-2011#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Mar 2011 10:51:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>enivid</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodity Trading Videos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.commodityblog.com/?p=6343</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This short video report discusses agricultural commodities and&#160;the&#160;end of&#160;the&#160;week situation on&#160;the&#160;market. A&#160;slight focus is given to&#160;wheat. The&#160;key driving factors and&#160;the&#160;probable directions of&#160;different commodity contracts are also given. (...)Read the rest of Video: Agriculture Commodities Report &#8212; March 20th 2011 (33 words) Posted on Commodity blog.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This short video report discusses agricultural commodities and&nbsp;the&nbsp;end of&nbsp;the&nbsp;week situation on&nbsp;the&nbsp;market. A&nbsp;slight focus is given to&nbsp;wheat. The&nbsp;key driving factors and&nbsp;the&nbsp;probable directions of&nbsp;different commodity contracts are also given.</p>
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(...)<br/>Read the rest of <a href="http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-trading-videos/video-agriculture-commodities-report-march-20th-2011">Video: Agriculture Commodities Report &mdash; March 20th 2011</a> (33 words)</p>
Posted on <a href="http://www.commodityblog.com/">Commodity blog</a>.]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Farms and Oil Wells and Mines, Oh My!</title>
		<link>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-prices/farms-and-oil-wells-and-mines-oh-my</link>
		<comments>http://www.commodityblog.com/commodity-prices/farms-and-oil-wells-and-mines-oh-my#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Feb 2008 01:20:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mario</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices - Corn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[metal prices]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.forexhome.net/general-forex/farms-and-oil-wells-and-mines-oh-my.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As&#160;unnerving as&#160;the&#160;markets&#8217; latest roller-coaster ride has been for&#160;investors, commodities remain a&#160;good bet for&#160;respectable gains in&#160;a&#160;portfolio, experts say. From corn and&#160;wheat to&#160;oil, iron ore, coal and&#160;precious metals, prices are likely to&#160;be driven higher by&#160;worldwide supply shortages and&#160;growing demand. &#8220;Commodities have a&#160;bright future, but investors should recognize that these stocks are cyclical,&#8221; says Ari Levy, vice-president and&#160;director, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As&nbsp;unnerving as&nbsp;the&nbsp;markets&#8217; latest <nobr>roller-coaster</nobr> ride has been for&nbsp;investors, commodities remain a&nbsp;good bet for&nbsp;respectable gains in&nbsp;a&nbsp;portfolio, experts say. From corn and&nbsp;wheat to&nbsp;oil, iron ore, coal and&nbsp;precious metals, prices are likely to&nbsp;be driven higher by&nbsp;worldwide supply shortages and&nbsp;growing demand.<br />
&#8220;Commodities have a&nbsp;bright future, but investors should recognize that these stocks are cyclical,&#8221; says Ari Levy, <nobr>vice-president</nobr> and&nbsp;director, TD Asset Management Inc., who is portfolio manager for&nbsp;TD Resource Fund and&nbsp;TD Energy Fund.<br />
For&nbsp;the&nbsp;most part, Mr. Levy and&nbsp;other investment experts are bullish on&nbsp;commodities because whether or&nbsp;not the&nbsp;U.S. economy falters, demand is huge in&nbsp;other much larger markets such as&nbsp;China and&nbsp;India, where there have been few signs of&nbsp;an&nbsp;economic downturn.<br />
&#8220;In&nbsp;the&nbsp;1990s, when <a href="http://blog.forexhome.net">commodity prices</a> were low, companies stopped looking for&nbsp;mines and&nbsp;building refineries. As&nbsp;a&nbsp;result, supply has not kept up with demand. Investors are starting to&nbsp;see this and&nbsp;the&nbsp;supply side is driving the&nbsp;markets,&#8221; says Craig Porter, <nobr>vice-president</nobr> and&nbsp;portfolio manager for&nbsp;Front Street Capital in&nbsp;Toronto. His company manages a&nbsp;handful of&nbsp;funds for&nbsp;the&nbsp;Canadian Imperial Bank of&nbsp;Commerce, including CIBC Precious Metals Fund and&nbsp;CIBC Canadian Resources Fund.<br />
Investors looking for&nbsp;a&nbsp;piece of&nbsp;the&nbsp;commodities action have a&nbsp;long list of&nbsp;options, including individual shares, mutual funds and&nbsp;exchange traded funds.</p>
<p>ENERGY<br />
Mr. Levy suggests investors take a&nbsp;hard look at&nbsp;oil, in&nbsp;particular shares in&nbsp;companies with <nobr>large-scale</nobr>, ongoing growth projects that will enable them to&nbsp;capitalize on&nbsp;rising demand.<br />
He is high on&nbsp;firms working in&nbsp;Alberta&#8217;s oil sands, including <nobr>TSX-listed</nobr> Suncor Energy Inc. and&nbsp;EnCana Corp., both of&nbsp;which showed <nobr>double-digit</nobr> gains at&nbsp;the&nbsp;end of&nbsp;2007. He suggests buying individual stocks or&nbsp;purchasing them through mutual funds.<br />
Mr. Levy also likes the&nbsp;prospects for&nbsp;natural gas, and&nbsp;again recommends EnCana.</p>
<p>METALS<br />
Mr. Levy is also bullish on&nbsp;aluminum because the&nbsp;material&#8217;s tensile strength and&nbsp;lightness are desirable for&nbsp;many manufacturers. A&nbsp;company he likes is <nobr>Pittsburgh-based</nobr> Alcoa Inc., which trades on&nbsp;the&nbsp;New York Stock Exchange.<br />
He says another good bet is zinc (used in&nbsp;construction, transportation, consumer goods and&nbsp;electrical appliances), which appears to&nbsp;be lacking in&nbsp;supply as&nbsp;global demand for&nbsp;the&nbsp;metal continues to&nbsp;rise, particularly in&nbsp;China.<br />
Investors interested in&nbsp;adding zinc to&nbsp;their portfolios should consider TSX- listed Teck Cominco Ltd., of&nbsp;Vancouver, which Mr. Levy notes is involved in&nbsp;exploration for&nbsp;and&nbsp;mining of&nbsp;zinc, as&nbsp;well as&nbsp;copper, lead, gold and&nbsp;metallurgical coal.<br />
&#8220;I&nbsp;do not see huge increases in&nbsp;supply growth to&nbsp;match global demand, in&nbsp;particular China&#8217;s need for&nbsp;plating,&#8221; he says.<br />
Mr. Porter thinks there&#8217;s good money to&nbsp;be made in&nbsp;iron ore and&nbsp;coal. He recommends investors take a&nbsp;hard look at&nbsp;Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, the&nbsp;Brazilian iron ore company that took over Inco last year and&nbsp;is the&nbsp;world&#8217;s largest iron ore producer.<br />
As&nbsp;25 million Chinese people annually move from the&nbsp;countryside to&nbsp;cities, that country will need hospitals, schools, roads and&nbsp;new housing, all of&nbsp;which will require steel, Mr. Porter says. &#8220;Both the&nbsp;iron ore and&nbsp;coal needed to&nbsp;make steel are in&nbsp;very short supply. There are deposits out there but a&nbsp;lot of&nbsp;mines have yet to&nbsp;be built or&nbsp;the&nbsp;existing ones have capacity constraints,&#8221; he says.</p>
<p>DIAMONDS<br />
Diamonds are also high on&nbsp;Mr. Porter&#8217;s commodities list. He reasons that as&nbsp;economies strengthen in&nbsp;the&nbsp;world&#8217;s poorer countries, their citizens will have more disposable income for&nbsp;luxury purchases. This, combined with shutdowns of&nbsp;mines at&nbsp;the&nbsp;end of&nbsp;their economic life by&nbsp;huge companies like De Beers, could produce a&nbsp;diamond shortage within five years, he says.<br />
Mr. Porter&#8217;s diamond picks are Harry Winston Diamond Corp., a&nbsp;<nobr>high-end</nobr> jewellery retailer that owns the&nbsp;Diavik diamond mine in&nbsp;the&nbsp;Northwest Territories; and&nbsp;junior mining company Rockwell Diamonds Inc. of&nbsp;Vancouver, which operates in&nbsp;South Africa and&nbsp;has a&nbsp;history of&nbsp;mining <nobr>high-grade</nobr> diamonds.</p>
<p>AGRICULTURE<br />
Mr. Porter also sees solid growth potential in&nbsp;agricultural commodities, as&nbsp;Asian countries add more meat to&nbsp;their diet in&nbsp;place of&nbsp;vegetables and&nbsp;rice. He sees prices rising as&nbsp;the&nbsp;demand for&nbsp;animal feed such as&nbsp;grain and&nbsp;corn rises; he expects prices to&nbsp;get a&nbsp;further boost as&nbsp;demand for&nbsp;ethanol rises and&nbsp;producers clamour for&nbsp;more of&nbsp;the&nbsp;corn used to&nbsp;make the&nbsp;fuel.<br />
His recommendations are <nobr>Saskatoon-based</nobr> Potash Corp. of&nbsp;Saskatchewan Inc., which produces and&nbsp;markets potash, nitrogen and&nbsp;phosphate products to&nbsp;fertilizer, industrial and&nbsp;animal feed customers around the&nbsp;world; and&nbsp;Agrium Inc. of&nbsp;Calgary, a&nbsp;major supplier of&nbsp;agricultural products and&nbsp;services in&nbsp;North and&nbsp;South America and&nbsp;supplier of&nbsp;specialty fertilizers in&nbsp;North America. Both trade on&nbsp;the&nbsp;TSX and&nbsp;the&nbsp;NYSE and&nbsp;can be purchased in&nbsp;various mutual funds.<br />
Mr. Porter also likes the&nbsp;ETFS Grains Fund, listed on&nbsp;the&nbsp;London Stock Exchange, which tracks the&nbsp;price of&nbsp;corn, soybeans and&nbsp;wheat.<br />
&#8220;No matter what the&nbsp;commodity, there are bound to&nbsp;be hiccups,&#8221; he cautions. &#8220;Over the&nbsp;past five years, there has always been something that has sent the&nbsp;sector in&nbsp;a&nbsp;correction&nbsp;&#8212; SARS, bird flu, fears that China would slow down&nbsp;&#8212; but things always bounce back,&#8221; he says.</p>
Posted on <a href="http://www.commodityblog.com/">Commodity blog</a>.]]></content:encoded>
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