Commodity Blog

Posts Tagged ‘Argentina’

Wheat gained as U.S. farmers are cutting sales on anticipation that a weaker dollar will increase demand for the grain. Price was falling as global wheat supplies are increasing faster than world demand but low wheat planting this winter may cause lack of supplies, leading to rebound in price. May futures for wheat delivery rose $0.1125 (2.2 percent) to $5.1575 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Corn advanced on speculation that excessive rainfall may harm crops in Argentina. Price is supported by combination of a falling dollar, adverse weather and improving world stock markets, as well as by farmers, who are holding crops for higher prices. May futures for corn delivery jumped $0.0525 (1.4 percent) to $3.8675 per bushel in Chicago.

Gold may rise to $1,162 per ounce, according to technical analysis, in case prices hold above $1,135 level. The precious metal advanced 3.6 percent this year. Gold traded at $1,136.45 by 10:44 in London.

White sugar gained in London on signs that a global production deficit may persist, encouraging importers to increase inventories. Production of sugar cane in Brazil and India, the largest growers in the world, was hampered by adverse weather. Analysts forecast that global demand will exceed worldwide output by 9.4 million metric tons in the 2009–10 season. May delivery for white sugar rose $7.60 (1.1 percent) to $714.50 per metric ton on the Liffe exchange.

Wheat, soybeans and corn dropped in Chicago after the dollar gained, making purchases of U.S. crops unprofitable for traders, who are using other currencies. May delivery for wheat lost 1.3 percent to $4.9325 per bushel on CBoT by 12:34. Argentina, the third biggest soybean exporter in the world, may produce more soybeans than previously predicted record 52 million tons with the aid of rains. May delivery for soybeans declined 0.7 percent to $9.575 per bushel. Corn planting is expected to increase from 86.5 million acres last year to 89 million this year. May delivery for corn fell 0.7 percent to $3.6625 per bushel.

Corn is the most widely grown crop in the United States. 332 million metric tons of the crop are harvested annually in the U.S. What prospects are for the corn in 2010?

By the end of 2009 future seemed to be bright for corn prices as adverse weather caused late planting in the U.S. But everything has turned upside down when the U.S. Department of Agriculture predicted that US corn production will reach a new record. USDA estimated 2009 corn crop as much as 13.15 billion bushels, while analysts forecast yield to be about 12.82 billion bushels. U.S. corn exports forecast went down by 50 million bushels to 2.1 billion bushels, further pushing down outlook for corn prices. U.S. exporters also have to deal with competition from Argentinean corn. Production of corn in Argentina may reach 17 million bushels, compared with estimated 12 million bushels, and at least 9 million bushels will be available for export. Slow recovery of U.S. economy does not help demand, and therefore prices, either.

Yet not everything looks dim for corn. Low prices improved exports by 20 percent this month. Recent reports about low soil moisture in Argentina corn growing areas are also supportive for corn prices. As you see, conditions can change significantly over small amount of time, making hard to say which price should be expected. USDA forecasted the price for the corn to be in a range of $2.90-$4.50 per bushel, suggesting with such a wide range that Department is unsure too. Analysts say that “there are not many fundamental reasons for high corn prices” and “technical support should not allow prices to fall much more”.

Copper gained in New York and London after imports of the industrial metal into China rose for a second month and the dollar fell. Shipments of copper into China increased to 369,400 tons in December. March futures for copper delivery gained $0.0405 (1.2 percent) to $3.441 per pound on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Delivery for copper in three months rose $106.50 (1.4 percent) to $7,567.50 a ton ($3.43 a pound) on LME.

Corn futures slid and soybeans declined on speculation that demand for supplies from the U.S. will decline as rains will increase crop yields in Argentina and Brazil. Rainfall will aid crops in Brazil in the next 10 days and will increase soil moisture for developing corn and soybeans in the next two days in Argentina. March futures for corn delivery declined $0.005 to $4.225 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade. March futures for soybean delivery slid $0.115 (1.1 percent) to $10.105 per bushel in Chicago.

Sugar tumbled to the lowest in nine weeks after speculators increased sales as prices last week reached the record in almost 29 years. Hedge-fund managers and other speculators boosted net-long positions by 25 percent in the last six weeks. March futures for raw-sugar delivery dropped $0.0078 (2.8 percent) to $0.2675 per pound on ICE.

Soybeans tumbled to the lowest in two weeks on outlook that demand for supplies from the U.S will wane as farmers in South America may harvest record crops next month. Argentina and Brazil, the two greatest growers after the U.S., may harvest a record 116 million tons. Rainfall next week will boost soybean filling and pod development in both countries. Analysts say that speculation about “demand shifting away from U.S. supplies, especially from China” caused “some selling”. January futures for soybean delivery slid $0.045 (0.4 percent) to $10.565 per bushel by 10:25 on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Wheat reached the highest level in a month after report that fewer acres were planted with winter varieties in the U.S. because of unusually wet weather. Some farmers were prevented from sowing wheat by muddy fields delaying corn and soybean harvests. The price also aided by speculators buying contracts with expectation on rising demand for raw materials. March futures for wheat delivery increased $0.1425 (2.6 percent) to $5.6725 per bushel on CBT.

Soybeans went up to the highest in two weeks with rising demand in China and U.S. Prices was also boosted by drought in Brazil and Argentina, decreasing soybeans exports from these countries in 2009. March futures for soybean delivery went up $0.0025 to $10.62 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Coffee futures touched a record in 15 months on outlook that yield will drop in Brazil and Vietnam, the largest producers in the world. Coffee prices may also rise with colder weather boosting demand. March futures for Arabica-coffee delivery increased $0.0135 (0.9 percent) to $1.4725 per pound on ICE.

Wheat slid as the stronger dollar forced down demand for exports from the U.S. As crop is being harvested in Australia, while some countries like Canada and France also have wheat for sale, it looks like supply just exceeds demand. March futures for wheat delivery slid $0.0675 (1.2 percent) to $5.3675 per bushel on CBT.

Gold tumbled, erasing previous gains, as the strengthening dollar cut demand for precious metals as an inflation hedge. The dollar rose 0.9 percent, reaching highest level in a month versus the euro. February futures for gold delivery slid $20.60 (1.8 percent) to $1,143.40 per ounce on the Comex division of New York Mercantile Exchange.

Soybeans dropped on outlook that China, the greatest consumer of soybeans and vegetable oil, may shift to supplies from South America. Production of soybeans in Brazil and Argentina may reach a record 116 million tons in 2010, pushing demand for U.S. crop down. January futures for soybean delivery fell $0.075 (0.7 percent) to $10.455 per bushel by 10:31 on CBT.

Sugar dropped on forecast that production of the sweetener in India may increase. Cane harvest was damaged previous month by excessive rainfall brought by the cyclone. Analysts predict that more mills may start crushing because warm weather is expected over the main growing region this month. March futures for raw-sugar delivery dropped 0.6 percent to $0.2264 per pound in New York yesterday.

Soybeans price reached the highest level since June as demand for animal feed and cooking oil from the U.S. increased. Demand for supplies from the U.S. rose as a dry weather has cut yield in Brazil and Argentina this year. U.S. soybeans export grew 58 percent to 27.1 million metric tons from September 1st to November 19th. January futures for soybean delivery added $0.16 (1.5 percent) to $10.765 per bushel by 10:18 on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Soybean harvest may rise to a record in Brazil, the second biggest soybean producer in the world, next year as declining prices for corn makes farmers shy away from planting it. Crop is also helped by the above-average rains in major producing regions. Forecast for soybean output this year, according to Brazil’s Agriculture Ministry, is 57.09 million metric tons on September 8th, compared to last month’s estimate of 57.11 million.

Corn gained on signs that smaller harvest in China and Argentina may boost demand for supplies from the U.S., the biggest producer and exporter in the world. Chinese Production may drop to 148.8 million metric tons (10 percent), down from a record 165.9 million last year as dry weather damaged crops. Argentina may plant the smaller crop after the government delayed plans to lift a ban on exports. Decreasing global corn yield makes U.S. export potential bullish. December futures for corn delivery advanced $0.0475 (1.4 percent) to $3.3875 per bushel as of 11:15 on CBoT.

Cotton prices rose in New York after a report about slower Chinese production. Cotton production in China may fall to 7.02 million tons this year (9.9 percent down from last year). December futures for cotton delivery gained $0.0087 (1.4 percent) to $0.6281 per pound by 12:28 on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.