Commodity Blog

Posts Tagged ‘China’

Sugar futures dropped to a lowest in seven months in New York as production rose in Brazil and India, the largest producers in the world. India’s production will reach 16.8 million metric tons in the year ending September 30th, while output in Brazil more than doubled in the second half of February from a year earlier. Traders are holding their purchases in hopes for further price decline. May futures for sugar delivery fell $0.0063 (3.1 percent) to $0.1969 per pound on ICE Futures U.S.

Soybeans advanced to a highest in a week as China bought supplies from the U.S. exporters and after the report that stockpiles will be smaller than predicted. China bought 110,000 metric tons for delivery in the year beginning September 1st, signaling that appeal of the U.S. supplies persist despite the record harvest in South America. Inventories will be 190 million bushels on August 31st, down from 210 million forecasted in February. May futures for soybean delivery gained $0.105 (1.1 percent) to $9.58 per bushel on CBoT.

Wheat futures slid to a monthly low on speculation that inventories in the U.S., the greatest exporter in the world, will increase. Stockpiles will reach as much as 1.001 billion bushels on May 31st, up from a February forecast of 981 million bushels, while consumption for food, livestock feed and exports will be 1 percent less than predicted in the previous month. May futures for wheat delivery declined $0.08 (1.6 percent) to $4.815 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Wheat prices advanced as the dollar fell, spurring demand for the U.S. grain. The U. S. currency slipped as much as 0.4 percent versus a basket of major currencies. Global stockpiles may climb 19 percent to 195.9 million metric tons in the year ending May 31st, slowing the wheat price increase. The grain price may also fall as U.S. have to compete with other exporters. May futures for wheat delivery advanced $0.015 (0.3 percent) to $4.95 per bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Sugar futures dropped to the weekly low on speculation that world demand will decline. Analysts say that with increasing global inventories “the bulls will lose their opportunity for a strong rally”. May futures for raw-sugar delivery dropped $0.0062 (2.8 percent) to $0.2157 per pound on ICE.

Copper prices slid on concern that demand for the industrial metal will decline in China with stalled economic recovery. Earlier the metal fluctuated, following the dollar and the U.S. equities. May futures for copper delivery slid $0.007 (0.2 percent) to $3.4105 per pound on NYMEX.

Aluminum producers lowered the fee for Japanese buyers after China resumed halted capacity and supply in Asia rose as smelters began production. Premiums for the three months ending June 30 fell to $122 per metric ton down from $125 to $130 this quarter (the highest level in 14 years). The premium for Good Western-grade aluminum ingot more than doubled in 2009 as record purchases by China and decreased supplies from Russia caused shortage of the metal in Asia.

China, the largest buyer of copper in the world, decreased import after record purchases in 2009 as local smelters restarted production. Aluminum smelters in China, the largest producer of the industrial metal, resumed 5 million tons per annum of idled capacity in past year as profit margins improved with increasing prices. China’s purchases of refined aluminum dropped to 40,059 metric tons in January from 42,106 tons in December as the nation have ample inventories after it have bought more metal than necessary on outlook for a demand recovery.

Delivery for aluminum in three months rose 0.3 percent to $2,225 per ton by 15:57 on the London Metal Exchange. The price has reached previously a 15-month high.

Corn and soybeans gained today as farmers slowed sales after a price drop earlier this year. Drop in sales have led to decline of supplies for export and for producing fuel, animal feed and food. May futures for corn delivery added $0.0575 (1.5 percent) to $3.79 per bushel by 10:44 on the Chicago Board of Trade. March futures for soybean delivery rose $0.18 (1.9 percent) to $9.63 per bushel.

Copper rose in London on outlook for increasing demand in Japan, the fourth biggest buyer of the metal in the world. Japan’s gross domestic product grew 4.6 percent in the fourth quarter. Imports of the metal in China declined as much as 546,000 metric tons. Yet analysts say that this decline can be more than offset by rising global demand. Three-month delivery for copper rose $70 (1 percent) to $6,880 per ton by 16:52 on the London Metal Exchange.

Wheat futures fell in Paris on speculation that rising global stockpiles will decrease prices. The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported that global wheat stockpiles will increase from 164 million metric tons a year earlier to 195.9 million tons by the end of May as supply exceeds demand for a second year. Prices may yet go up with farmers’ reluctance to sell at current prices and good European Union exports. March delivery for milling wheat fell 0.4 percent to 125.25 euros ($170.35) per metric ton today on NYSE Liffe.

Gold rose in New York and London after the dollar declined, boosting appeal of precious metals as an inflation hedge. The U.S. Dollar Index dropped 0.9 percent on speculation that European Union officials will agree to assist Greece to tackle its budget deficit. Gold have tendency to gain when greenback falls.

As concern for European woes is decreasing, the demand for gold and other investment assets rebound. China’s passenger-car sales more than doubled in January with government economic stimulus measures. High automobile sales in China helped the prices for precious metals.

April delivery for gold futures gained $15.10 (1.4 percent) to $1,081.30 per ounce by 12:02 on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Previous decline was considered as ”a buying opportunity” and have increased bullion purchases.

Sugar futures rose on speculation that the global deficit will be higher than forecasted. Analysts say that “sugar has favorable technicals and fundamentals”. March futures for raw-sugar delivery added $0.0012 (0.4 percent) to $0.294 per pound on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

Wheat futures gained in Chicago on forecast that supplies may decline because farmers in the U.S. cut selling after prices dropped last month to the lowest level since June. Prices are also aided by expectation of rising demand for U.S. wheat. March futures for wheat delivery went up $0.125 (2.6 percent) to $4.8725 per bushel on CBoT.

Cotton prices rose, ending the longest decline since September 2008, on outlook for improving demand in China, the biggest buyer of the fiber in the world. The area planted with cotton may decrease by 4.9 percent and reductions in the crop supply may cause Chinese textile producers to increase imports. March futures for cotton delivery gained $0.0104 (1.5 percent) to $0.6926 per pound on ICE.

Wheat prices dropped on expectation that China’s lending limits will slow economic growth and cause decline in demand for U.S. grains. Wheat fell 8 percent this month as pace of an increase in weekly U.S. exports is not enough to outweigh growing global stockpiles. March futures for wheat delivery slid $0.03 (0.6 percent) to $4.9525 per bushel as of 10:16 on CBoT.

Corn slid on speculation that record U.S. production will exceed world demand as China are going to slow economic growth. Analysts forecast record global production, resulting in ample supplies for producers of sweeteners, ethanol and livestock feed. March futures for corn delivery dropped $0.03 (0.8 percent) to $3.6475 per bushel by 10:23 on the Chicago Board of Trade.

Sugar went down in New York as the record prices since 1981 drove away buyers from the commodity. Futures reached $0.301 per pound yesterday, the highest level in 29 years. March futures for raw-sugar delivery declined $0.0009 (0.3 percent) to $0.2971 per pound at 10:26 on ICE.

Crude oil tumbled to the lowest in a month in New York on speculation that China will raise interest rates and as equities slid after U.S. President proposed restrictions on risk-taking at financial institutions. Oil also slid this week as the dollar rose, curbing the demand for commodities as an inflation hedge and investor confidence decreased on declines in equity markets.

Fuel consumption in the U.S. fell 1.8 percent in the past four weeks compared to a previous year. Refineries ran at 78.4 percent of capacity in the U.S. last week, the lowest rate since 1989, barring the Atlantic hurricane season. Gasoline stockpiles rose 3.95 million barrels to 227.4 million last week, the record level since March 2008.

March delivery for crude oil dropped $1.17 (1.5 percent) to $74.91 per barrel by 10:15 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Some analysts think that there shouldn’t be any significant changes in the market in the next few days after decline. But there is probability that crude oil may decline next week as U.S. fuel consumption falls and refineries idle units.

Cocoa rose to a highest level in 21 years in London on speculation that demand will be boosted by a rebounding global economic. Restocking is taking place as consumer confidence returns and business conditions improve. Cocoa consumption jumped 0.6 percent in Europe in the fourth quarter. March delivery for cocoa rose 1 percent to $3,770 per metric ton on Liffe today.

Copper prices tumbled to the four-week low as the rising dollar cut buying of commodities as an inflation hedge and a decline in equity markets curbed demand outlook. Yet some analysts think that the outlook for copper over the longer term is quite positive as demand rises in Asia, including China. March futures for copper delivery dropped $0.06 (1.8 percent) to $3.295 per pound on NYMEX.

Soybeans rose on expectations that demand from China will rebound after prices from the U.S. fell 9.4 percent this month. China’s demand for soybeans grown in the U.S. to produce cooking oil and livestock feed rose as drought harmed crops in South America last year. March futures for soybean delivery gained $0.04 (0.4 percent) to $9.54 per bushel on CBoT.