Commodity Blog

Posts Tagged ‘support and resistance’

Corn and soybeans price gained on speculation that dry weather may harm crops in the U.S., the largest grower and exporter in the word. As much as 20 percent of the Midwest crops threatened by heat wave over the next six weeks as temperatures may reach 38 degrees Celsius (100 degrees Fahrenheit). These speculations spurred buying, which is driven primarily not but demand itself, but rather by concern for lower supplies. December futures for corn delivery gained $0.07 (1.8 percent) to $3.94 per bushel as of 10:35 on CBoT. November futures for soybean delivery rose $0.0825 (0.9 percent) to $9.6275 a bushel

Gold slid in New York after prices rose to the highest level in three weeks. The precious metal encountered resistance at the $1,215 level. The analysts say that price below $1,200 is good opportunity to buy. August futures for gold delivery slipped $5.60 to $1,207.90 per ounce by 12:32 on COMEX.

The presented video features a latest short-term analysis of the gold based on the support and resistance levels and the RSI indicator. The gold has been rallying recently approaching its December 2009 levels. Currently it has to meet some important resistance levels that won’t be very easy to break. But the commodity has some good chances to continue trading near its maximums. Please, watch the video to get more information regarding the tools that will help you to forecast the gold’s movement in the coming weeks:

This video presents a short-term technical analysis of the spot gold chart based on the Japanese candlestick patterns. The period of the last 15 days is reviewed, marking up the most important daily candles and the support/resistance levels that were formed by these candlesticks. In the end the short-term target for the gold is given. I recommend watching this video if you want to profit from the next few days’ move in gold disregarding your current long-term stance on this commodity.

This video is a medium-term analysis of the spot gold chart with some predictions based on the trend analysis, support and resistance levels and Fibonacci retracement. Although the gold behaved in a very bearish manner during December, the current month looks to be promising for this shiny commodity. The gold may continue its long-term rising trend in January with some profit potential for the bulls and an opportunity to go short from the higher point for the bears.

Analysts predict that crude oil’s rally will stop at $88 level. The level of $88 was a support in 2007 and at the end of 2008. Price support level at a falling market may become resistance when prices are beginning to rise. Oil rose to $83.52 per barrel (a highest level in 14 months) on January 6th.

Sugar prices increased the fourth time this week reaching the highest level in almost three decades on expectation that countries including India, the greatest buyer in the world, are going to raise imports to ease a growing supply shortage. As a result of surge in global prices sugar mills in India are forced to delay imports because high prices made overseas purchases unprofitable. Sugar futures more than doubled in the past year, touching a 29-year high yesterday in New York, as adverse weather damaged cane crops in India and Brazil, biggest growers in the world. March futures for raw-sugar delivery gained $0.0031 (1.1 percent) to $0.2831 per pound by 11:19 on ICE Futures U.S. in New York.

The presented video analyzes the latest technical developments of the spot gold chart. The proposed technical analysis is based on the trendlines and the support and resistance levels. The offered trading opportunities can be considered rather short-term and a great deal of caution should be applied if you are buying or selling gold with the long-term targets.

Crude oil is the raw material used in producing heating oil, gasoline, jet fuel, diesel and other petrochemicals. Three greatest oil producers in the world are the United States, Russia and Saudi Arabia. Crude oil prices directly affect the cost of home heating oil, gasoline, electric power generation and manufacturing. Being the major energy source, oil attracts attention of many investors. Oil price was steadily rising through 2009. Will this trend remain in 2010?

Let’s look at different factor influencing oil prices. As crude oil used in production of unleaded gas and heating oil, prices of these commodities can influence price of the oil. A very cold winter results in higher demand for heating oil, pushing prices for crude oil up. A very active driving season during summer vacations can boost the demand and, as a result, prices for crude oil. Obviously, potential world crises in oil-producing countries may also significantly boost prices of the commodity.

Generally, outlook for oil prices is rather positive. Global economy recovers and rebounding economy requires energy sources, spurring demand for oil. OPEC is expected to decrease its oil production. Production output of non-OPEC countries, while rising, will not offset growing demand for the energy source. Declining dollar forces investors to invest in commodities, like oil, as a hedge measure. Easing credit markets makes it cheaper to store crude oil. All these factors promise bright future for a crude oil.

Telling all this, we should remember that not everybody agree on such optimistic outlook. Some analysts insist that rising supplies, partially because of new technologies giving access to new drilling sites, will catch up demand and will drive oil prices down. Also declining dollar can make prices, measured in U.S. currency, somewhat misleading. Analysts point out that, while dollar prices have surged this year, prices measured in non-U.S. currencies rose not that much and actual oil prices were similarly increased not very much.

So, what price for the black gold can be expected in 2010? There are different opinions on this matter. Technically, long term support level exists at $50 per barrel. Actually, even most pessimistic predictions are not putting oil price in 2010 below $60 level. Another major support and resistance level rests at $75. Most analysts think that the commodity will be traded at this level or somewhat higher in the next year. There are forecasts that put prices as high as $90 in 2010 and even $110 in 2011. But we should remember about another resistance level at $100 which is hard to overcome both from technical and psychological points of view. Take all this factors into account when deciding your trading strategy for the oil but remember to watch market carefully as, in the end, it says what is right and what is wrong.

Gold looks to be a very popular commodity for all kinds of traders these days. Expectations for the higher inflation and general financial uncertainty drive unprofessional investors into the gold market, which helps the hedge funds to make money on the rallying commodity. This video technical analysis of the short-term gold charts show some important support and resistance levels, as well as the Fibonacci retracements, that may be used as the pivotal points for position entry and exit.